Evidently David Rose can’t help himself. He just keeps it coming (scroll down to see his bit about “Now SECOND set of data …”).
This time he’s protesting that he wasn’t cherry-picking, because the surface temperature from the authoritative (his description) Hadley Centre/Climate Research Unit (HadCRUT4) also shows a decline after the recent el Niño peak.
When is he going to get it? This is not news. And it does not, in any way, mean that global warming — the upward temperature trend from man-made climate change — wasn’t behind the recent el Niño being more than just a peak. It was a record-smasher.
David Rose wants you to think that now the el Niño has subsided, everything has gone back to the way it was before. And, he wants you to think that the global warming trend had nothing to do with the fact that this el Niño broke the record, beating the crap out of all those previous el Niño events.
That’s a little hard to swallow when you look at his own graph (of HadCRUT4 data) and compare the 2015-2016 big el Niño to the 1997-1998 big el Niño:
How stupid does he think you are?
I’ll make the comparison easier for you, by zooming in on the two el Niño events and superimposing them on top of each other. I’ll even show you a little bit of what happened before 1997:
Notice how, other than Feb. 1996 vs Feb. 2014, everything about this recent el Niño, including the lead-up, the peak, and even the afterward decline, all exceed the previous el Niño?
That’s because of global warming. The trend.
David Rose insists that he doesn’t deny the trend. But he keeps on saying stuff like this:
“Our story showed that these record high temperatures were triggered by naturally occurring but freak conditions caused by El Nino — and not, as had been previously suggested, by the cumulative effects of man-made global warming.”
The record high was due to man-made global warming: it made the latest el Niño peak hotter than it ever got before. But David Rose just denied that the record high was due to man-made global warming. That’s why I call him a denier.
And by the way, did you notice that David Rose shows you surface temperature from HadCRU, but his graph doesn’t start until 1997? Doesn’t he want you to see what else has happened? I’ll show you a lot of what happened before 1997:
Starting at 1997-1998, so starting with the previous big el Niño gives a misleading impression of the trend — what with the context removed — is one of the top climate denier tactics. That’s why I accuse David Rose of cherry-picking.
And, of course, David Rose keeps repeating his nonsense about “… the Met Office said it [el Niño] contributed ‘only a few hundredths of a degree’ to the record heat.” They were talking about 2015, not 2016, and they were talking about the yearly average, not the monthly values. That’s why I say that David Rose is either woefully ignorant or deliberately misleading.
Every time he does this, I get to show what reality looks like. And reality is: the recent record-breaking heat is because of the man-made global warming trend. Keep ’em comin’, David.
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