Search Results for: cycle

Cycle Change: Arctic Sea Ice Edition

After my last post, a reader asked: What’s most noticeable about this is the massive change in variability since 2007. Could you do some analysis of that? Sure.

Sea Ice Seasonal Cycle

Several readers mentioned that the plot of sea ice anomaly in the Arctic shown in the last post has much greater fluctuation after about 2007. Anomaly values are the difference between a given time’s extent, and the average for that … Continue reading

Annual Cycle of CO2

The question arose, whether the size of the annual cycle in atmospheric CO2 concentration has been changing recently. We’ve previously shown that it increased several decades ago, but has it increased or decreased more recently than that?

Trend and Cycle Together

Many climate signals show both trend and cycle (usually an annual cycle) together. A typical example is the concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere. If you look at the data (say, from the Mauna Loa atmospheric obsevatory) both … Continue reading

Glacial Cycles, part 2

In the previous post (also this) we established that without doubt, astronomical cycles — in particular, changes of obliquity (earth’s axial tilt) and precession (the relationship between the seasons and closest approach to the sun) — are related to the … Continue reading

Glacial Cycles, part 1b

This is just a “quickie” to show the results of Fourier analysis of a stack of delta-oxygen-18 records from benthic (i.e., ocean floor) sediment cores, which is not orbitally tuned.

Glacial Cycles, part 1

There’s really no doubt that astronomical cycles have influenced the growth and decay of ice on planet earth for the last 5 million years or so. The subject came up recently, and there seems to be a lot of confusion … Continue reading

Milankovitch Cycles

James Hansen has a new paper (a draft for review), “Paleoclimate Implications for Human-Made Climate Change.” We’ll discuss it in a future post. There’s a so-called “review” by Martin Hertzberg at WUWT in which he claims that Hansen fails to … Continue reading

How Fast is the Sea Rising?

I’m not asking how fast it was rising. I looked at that in the last post, using three different reconstructions of sea level since 1900 based on tide gauge data. And my goal wasn’t really to estimate the rate of … Continue reading

Hurricane Ida: Climate Change makes a Monster Storm

Warm sea water is what powers hurricanes. Usually, sea surface temperature (SST) in the Gulf of Mexico needs to exceed 29°C to intensify a hurricane, and every fraction of a degree above 29°C increases the chance — dramatically — of … Continue reading