Climate deniers love to declare a “pause” in global warming. What they don’t seem to care for is finding out the truth about whether or not it’s real. When it becomes so obvious global warming hasn’t paused that claiming it’s still paused becomes untenable, they’ll declare that it did — for a while, at least — and that it has already begun another “pause” — with the same amount of real evidence as before. None, that is.
No problem! Just fake it. But how? All you fellas out there with deniers to impress, it’s easy to do, just follow these steps.
STEP 1: Make a graph of global temperature. How about data from NOAA, from 1950 through 2017? If making graphs isn’t your forte, don’t worry, there are plenty of websites that will do it for you. I made my own:
STEP 2: Cherry-pick a time range which you think will make a good “pause” picture. How about 1998 through 2013?
STEP 3: Draw a flat line:
… and that’s the way ya do it, yeah yeah yeah yeah.
Beware! If you draw a line estimated by least squares regression,
or some other method such as Theil-Sen regression
you might not get what you want.
And whatever you do, if you include statistical analysis make sure it’s not valid analysis. If you do that, you might find out the truth, and you don’t want that. But do be careful, if somebody comes along to “check your work” you might end up embarrassed because you got it wrong. Maybe even twice.
Who would do this? How about Larry Kummer? He made an even better graph than I did:
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