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BS and DK
[Note: see the UPDATE at the end of the post] Brandon Shollenberger has written a blog post about my last post. I consider it an example of the Dunning-Kruger effect, that unskilled individuals overrate their ability.
Nothin’ but Noise
Pat Michaels claims (also here) that the journal Nature has lost its credibility. That’s an extraordinary claim, considering that Nature is one of the most prestigious peer-reviewed science journals in the world. There are those who believe Pat Michaels is … Continue reading
Posted in climate change, Global Warming, mathematics
Tagged Global Warming, mathematics
Gutenberg-Richter
In a comment on the last post, it was mentioned that the frequency of earthquakes of any given magnitude or greater will be given by the Gutenberg-Richter law. It states that the expected number of earthquakes in a given region … Continue reading
To robust, or not to robust? … that is the question
From time to time it is suggested that ordinary least squares, a.k.a. “OLS,” is inappropriate for some particular trend analysis. Sometimes this is a “word to the wise” because OLS actually is inappropriate (or at least, inferior to other choices). … Continue reading
How Fake Skeptics Fool Themselves, part 3
Jeff Condon seems unhappy with me. Enough to blog about it. And Anthony Watts cross-posts. But what I’d really like to discuss is yet another way in which Condon fools himself about trends in sea ice.
How Fake Skeptics Fool Themselves, Part 2
Jeff Condon didn’t seem pleased with my last post about his fake skepticism. He protested that all he had done was “plot some data in a reasonable fashion and make no conclusion.” I think his definition of “single-year ice” isn’t … Continue reading
Chip’s Cherries
After the record-breaking global temperatures noted in 2010, Chip Knappenberger treated us to his Cherry-Picker’s Guide to Temperature Trends. It was a follow-up to his earlier Cherry-Picker’s Guide to Temperature Trends.
Decadal Variations and AMO — Part II
In this post I’d like to examine another claim made in one of the Berkeley papers, that there is a periodic fluctuation in the AMO (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) with period about 9.1 years.
Decadal Variations and AMO, Part I
In the preceding post we examined criticism of one of the Berkeley team’s papers, Decadal Variations in the Global Atmospheric Land Temperatures (Muller et al. 2011, hereafter referred to as M2011), by a fake skeptic. Now I’ll offer my own … Continue reading
Fake Skeptic Criticism of “Decadal Variations in the Global Atmospheric Land Temperatures”
Now that I’ve had the chance to study some of the other papers from the Berkeley team, I’d like to offer my thoughts on Decadal Variations in the Global Atmospheric Land Temperatures (Muller et al. 2011). But first, I’ll comment … Continue reading
Open Mind 