Right and Wrong

There’s yet another paper debunking the so-called “hiatus” in global temperature, making five so far (of which I’m aware), including one of my own. But this one, in my opinion, isn’t helping. In fact I believe it has some very serious problems, some of which make the idea of “hiatus” too easy to reject, while others make it too hard to reject. Although I agree with their overall conclusion — and published that conclusion before they did — I find their evidence completely unconvincing.

Big Risk

Mike Mann has written a piece for the Huffington Post about the “fat tail” of likely climate sensitivity, what it means for risk, and how discussion about it is being misused. Worth a read.

More Mathturbation

After the last post I expected a firestorm of commentary about Donald Trump. Personally, I’m not very fond of Donald Trump.

Instead, most comments since then have focused on a post by “GreenHeretic” referred to in a comment.

Change-Point Fun

Lately I’ve been having fun with change-point analysis.

Here. Now.

Please watch it. Watch the whole thing.

100% consensus

Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum recently appeared on Real Time with Bill Maher. He denied the consensus on man-made climate change. It’s what he does. He’s a denier.

Talking Climate

There’s a website, talkingclimate.org, which focuses on how to be persuasive when talking to people about climate change. Here’s a taste of their approach, which I think is well worth watching:

Crowd-sourcing Cherries

I recently came across a “quiz” produced by Richard Keen, which ended with this graph:

It’s Global Warming, Stupid

Here (shown as black dots) is the total acres burned by wildfire in Washington state each year, together with a blue dashed line showing the yearly average, since 2002:

Cliff Mass: Picking Cherries in Full Denier Mode

I wonder whether Cliff Mass can comprehend what he himself has done?