Rebekah Jones is Fired Up

Rebekah Jones is fired up. Especially since she got fired.

Rebekah Jones, a 2012 Syracuse University graduate, designed Florida’s coronavirus dashboard. She said she was fired for refusing to manipulate data to help the state reopen. (Provided photo via Tribune News Service)TNS

She worked for Florida’s department of health, creating a dashboard for access to information about COVID-19 cases and a “scorecard” for each county, measuring how well it was meeting the goals Florida had said were needed for re-opening the state.

The politicians didn’t like the results. So they told her to change the numbers, to make it look like the state was ready to re-open. She refused.

Hooray for Rebekah Jones!

She got fired. Florida started to re-open. Here’s the latest data from Johns Hopkins University:

Rebekah Jones could see that Floridians need access to information, not manipulated lies but the truth. So she made her own website. Check it out! It’s awesome. While you’re there, make a donation. She’s doing this for free, just to help people.

Hooray for Rebekah Jones!

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4 responses to “Rebekah Jones is Fired Up

  1. Keith McClary

    “… she was fired on May 18.”

  2. I have been plotting graphs of ln(d/c) for EU country data where d is the 7 day mean from n-3 to n+3 and c is the cumulative total for day n. You can plot either the case data or the death data. When these are straight line graphs it becomes quite easy to convert them back to curves which fit the data very well and make pretty good predictions if you extrapolate. In the EU these graphs are straight lines and tend to have 1 change points when countries try to exit lockdown. There should be another at the start of lockdown but it is usually less obvious in death tallies. Then there is the Florida data. 3 change points so far, nothing like the EU pattern, this more like a curve. The extrapolations do not look good for Florida. Deaths have not started to increase yet but they do lag behind cases by a couple of weeks. I can’t help feeling that in a couple of weeks another change point will be required to keep up with the curve. It is worth noting that according to the data deaths in the state of Florida total 5% of cases very precisely if you allow for a 3 week lag. It is a straight line equation with R^2 =0.997. If you count the dots back on Tamino’s graph you will see that the big rise is all the last 3 weeks. I did say deaths have not started to increase yet. All in the data.

    Based on the change points I would also say Florida locked down near 1st April, were getting lax by 1st May and went back to normal about 23rd May.

    Lets go googling.
    Ahhh. I see DeSantis ordered lockdown on 3rd April. ——— Snap.
    Hmmm Reuters 29th April: Florida moves to ease coronavirus lockdown as promising… ——– Snap
    Business Insider: On May 18, the whole state had begun its first step of the process, which allows for the reopening of retail stores, restaurants, personal grooming businesses, and gyms at 50% capacity. ——- Small snap. I am struggling with this change point.
    And Finally. Gov. Ron DeSantis announced Florida will enter Phase Two of its reopening plan on June 5.

    Had Florida just hung in there then extrapolating the first trend line after lockdown says you would currently have had about 30 new cases per day and 4 deaths. As it is you have 2000 cases and 40 deaths per day. I predict 100 deaths per day in 3 weeks. You could be reopening your economy now knowing the virus was nearly gone and be ready to stamp on outbreaks. As it is you you are reopening your economy now and the virus is rampant.

    • “You could be reopening your economy now knowing the virus was nearly gone and be ready to stamp on outbreaks. As it is you you are reopening your economy now and the virus is rampant.”

      Yep. Basically, that’s what America is doing, particularly in the South. Here in South Carolina, we are now reliably logging upwards of 500 new cases a day, with a high of ~800 last Friday. Compliance on masking a social distancing is mediocre at best. And people keep talking about a “second wave,” which drives me wild because on a national level, the first wave has not crested: that is, our active caseload is still growing.

      Data from Monday the 15th:

      UK new cases: 968
      Spain new cases: 181
      Italy new cases: 301
      Germany new cases: 373
      France new cases: 152
      Canada new cases: 360
      US new cases: 20,722

      UK new deaths: 38
      Spain new deaths: 0
      Italy new deaths: 26
      Germany new deaths: 15
      France new deaths: 29
      Canada new deaths: 29
      US new deaths: 425

      One of these things is not like the others.

      Note: And yes, of course the US has the largest population. Here are the relevant populations, with the resulting normalization factors you can apply to the raw data above, if you wish.

      UK: 67,872,439 – 4.88
      Spain: 46,754,133 – 7.08
      Italy: 60,464,907 – 5.47
      Germany: 83,774,027 – 3.95
      France: 65,268,238 – 5.07
      Canada: 37,728,960 – 8.77

      [US: 330,928,170 – 1]

      The severity of the mishandling of the coronavirus crisis in the US is really staggering. (Though Brazil is going to give us a run for our money in that respect, with 928,834 current cases as of writing–and a staggering 37,278 new cases logged yesterday.)

  3. Superior to the Johns Hopkins version, which is build on the same software.