Anthony Watts has a post at WUWT which illustrates beautifully just how disconnected he and his followers are from reality.
It claims “One graph proves that record high year of 2015 and record months of 2016 are not AGW driven.” The graph is of the strength of the current el Niño event. His claim is encapsulated thus:
For all those people that want to claim 2015/2016 “proves” that human caused global warming is at work (while at the same time ignoring a record El Niño event as seen above), this graph indisputably proves that the El Niño is the driver of record high temperatures, not carbon dioxide.
I congratulate Anthony on fitting so many mistakes into a single sentence.
First: I don’t know who he’s referring to as claiming 2015/2016 “proves” that human caused global warming is at work.
Second: I don’t know who he’s referring to as “ignoring a record El Niño event.” I mentioned it. So did Gavin Schmidt, and Stefan Rahmstorf, and Mike Mann, and just about every climate scientist talking about the record-breaking heat in 2015/2016. I even estimated its influence on global temperature quantitatively. It also featured prominently in duscussion by just about every climate blogger who’s been talking about the record-shattering heat. It’s even a big part of stories about the record-smashing heat in the media.
Third, and most egregious: his belief that it “indisputably proves that the El Niño is the driver of record high temperatures, not carbon dioxide.”
El Niño is a factor in the recent record-obliterating high temperature — nobody in his right disputes that — but it’s not the only one. There’s also global warming. A big part of that is — you guessed it — carbon dioxide.
I’ve even gone to the trouble to point out that another factor is natural variation, the kind that’s not related to things like el Niño or volcanic eruptions or solar fluctuation.
It seems that to Anthony’s simple mind, more than one thing working at a time is too much to handle.
It also seems that he’s desperately seeking some simple, single thing to “prove” once and for all that CO2 isn’t raising temperature dramatically. That’s getting harder and harder for him, especially now that the beloved satellite data show record-killing temperature like the NASA surface temperature data do. That’s even without the recent revision to RSS data that makes the warming trend so much more obvious.
Anthony’s latest post reminds me of those ads you see on the internet about “This one secret lets you lose weight without exercising while eating everything you want.” They can even prove it.
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