Not long ago WUWT reported on a paper published by Nils-Axel Mörner and Albert Parker. It’s their attempt to argue that sea level isn’t accelerating, and that sea level rise is nothing for Australia to worry about. They do so by disputing any data that disagrees with their thesis, mentioning as many confounding factors as possible (whether relevant or not), and presenting a sorry excuse for proper “analysis.”
One of my favorite movies is Apollo 13, the tale of the fateful mission of astronauts Jim Lovell, Fred Haise, and Jack Swigert. Their hopes to land on the moon were dashed when an on-board explosion crippled the spacecraft, so that only the most extreme measures, the best of human ingenuity and determination, enabled them to survive. At one point they have to turn off their navigation computer because they simply don’t have enough power to leave it turned on. When they do, Lovell says “We just put Sir Isaac Newton in the driver’s seat.”
As strange as it may seem … I expected better, even from Anthony Watts’ blog.
That’s right. I said it.
There’s a post by Nils-Axel Mörner on WUWT which attempts to dispute concerns about sea level rise. In this particular case it draws attention to the Marshall Islands.
A post by Willis Eschenbach introduces something called the”periodicity transform” and extolls its virtues, suggesting that it’s superior in many ways to Fourier analysis. The method is very interesting, and in some situations quite useful, but it’s not the glorious improvement Willis seems to think it is — nor does Fourier analysis suffer from the flaws Willis seems to think it does. It’s also a recent method, but like most such innovations the core idea is not entirely new — there are strongly related methods that have been around for quite some time.
Last week my wife and I travelled to a family gathering. My family is used to the fact that I advocate action to mitigate global warming. In fact, maybe they’re a little tired of it, so I don’t harp on the point. But they know that I’ve never been a doomsayer — in fact I’ve always scoffed at such things — so when I mention that it’s an existential threat to their children and grandchildren, they can’t help but take it seriously.
This post by David Archibald at WUWT extolls the virtues of “wiggle matching,” then applies it — or so it claims — to match the CET (Central England Temperature) from 1703 through 1737, to that from 1978 through 2012. Archibald then notes that the 1703-1737 period was soon followed by the unusually cold year 1740. His conclusion? That we might be in for a similar year of extreme cold in 2015.
There are lots of problems with his efforts, but the main one is that the wiggles don’t match.
The Granite Mountain Hotshots were truly heroes. Among the most elite fire-fighters in the world, not only were they “tough as nails,” one of the requirements for membership is “being nice.”
Sadly, I must say “were” because 19 of 20 members were killed fighting a wildfire in Arizona.