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<channel>
	<title>Open Mind</title>
	<atom:link href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com</link>
	<description>Science, Politics, Life, the Universe, and Everything</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sun, 29 Jan 2012 06:36:05 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Open Mind</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com</link>
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	<atom:link rel="search" type="application/opensearchdescription+xml" href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/osd.xml" title="Open Mind" />
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		<item>
		<title>Fake Predictions for Fake Skeptics</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/27/fake-predictions-for-fake-skeptics/</link>
		<comments>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/27/fake-predictions-for-fake-skeptics/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 04:33:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tamino</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tamino.wordpress.com/?p=4671</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Let&#8217;s make a fake prediction. We&#8217;ll use ocean heat content data. Here&#8217;s the data for the global oceans: Here are the residuals from the smoothed curve: Note that there&#8217;s a decided hot fluctuation in 2003. So we&#8217;ll &#8220;predict&#8221; the time &#8230; <a href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/27/fake-predictions-for-fake-skeptics/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tamino.wordpress.com&amp;blog=530201&amp;post=4671&amp;subd=tamino&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/27/fake-predictions-for-fake-skeptics/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>42</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">tamino</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">ohc</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/resid.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">resid</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">trend</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">predict</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/fake.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">fake</media:title>
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		<item>
		<title>Chip&#8217;s Cherries</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/25/chips-cherries/</link>
		<comments>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/25/chips-cherries/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 17:08:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tamino</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tamino.wordpress.com/?p=4662</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After the record-breaking global temperatures noted in 2010, Chip Knappenberger treated us to his Cherry-Picker&#8217;s Guide to Temperature Trends. It was a follow-up to his earlier Cherry-Picker&#8217;s Guide to Temperature Trends. As a cherry-picker&#8217;s guide, it&#8217;s outstanding; those who want &#8230; <a href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/25/chips-cherries/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tamino.wordpress.com&amp;blog=530201&amp;post=4662&amp;subd=tamino&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/25/chips-cherries/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>40</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/103de93af796999da2234a1f81d9df6a?s=96&#38;d=identicon&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">tamino</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">cherry_2011_fig2</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">cherry_2011_fig3</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">ar4giss1</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">ar4giss2</media:title>
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	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Best Case Scenario</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/best-case-scenario/</link>
		<comments>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/best-case-scenario/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 18:25:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tamino</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tamino.wordpress.com/?p=4656</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Chip Knappenberger has posted about some papers, including Santer et al. (2011, Separating Signal and Noise in Atmospheric Temperature Changes: The Importance of Timescale. Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1029/2011JD016263) which proves one thing: that Knappenberger doesn&#8217;t get it. In more &#8230; <a href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/best-case-scenario/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tamino.wordpress.com&amp;blog=530201&amp;post=4656&amp;subd=tamino&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/23/best-case-scenario/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>53</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">tamino</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/ar4mods.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">ar4mods</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">ar4diff</media:title>
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		<item>
		<title>Step 3</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/22/step-3/</link>
		<comments>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/22/step-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Jan 2012 17:16:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tamino</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tamino.wordpress.com/?p=4648</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One of the most important lessons to learn about statistics, and not forget, is that just because your model is statistically significant, that doesn&#8217;t mean it&#8217;s right. In fact, just about all models are wrong. And some models, even some &#8230; <a href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/22/step-3/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tamino.wordpress.com&amp;blog=530201&amp;post=4648&amp;subd=tamino&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/22/step-3/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>35</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/103de93af796999da2234a1f81d9df6a?s=96&#38;d=identicon&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">tamino</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">SCfig1a</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">ausmooth</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">auquad</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">aulines</media:title>
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	</item>
		<item>
		<title>2011 Temperature Roundup</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/2011-temperature-roundup/</link>
		<comments>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/2011-temperature-roundup/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Jan 2012 22:19:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tamino</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tamino.wordpress.com/?p=4635</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Now that 2011 is complete, most of the major global temperature estimates have updated their data to include the complete calendar year. The only one which hasn&#8217;t yet is HadCRU, for which data are available through November of 2011 but &#8230; <a href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/2011-temperature-roundup/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tamino.wordpress.com&amp;blog=530201&amp;post=4635&amp;subd=tamino&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/2011-temperature-roundup/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>55</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/103de93af796999da2234a1f81d9df6a?s=96&#38;d=identicon&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">tamino</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/unadjusted.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">unadjusted</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/adjusted.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">adjusted</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">ave5</media:title>
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	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Step 2</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/10/step-2/</link>
		<comments>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/10/step-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Jan 2012 03:31:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tamino</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tamino.wordpress.com/?p=4624</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Pursuant to the subject of step change and telling the difference from linear increase, a reader pointed to a post on Roger Pielke&#8217;s site which claims to prove a step change (rather than linear increase) in two time series, of &#8230; <a href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/10/step-2/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tamino.wordpress.com&amp;blog=530201&amp;post=4624&amp;subd=tamino&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/10/step-2/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>73</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/103de93af796999da2234a1f81d9df6a?s=96&#38;d=identicon&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">tamino</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/artdat11.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">artdat1</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/artdat2.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">artdat2</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/artdat3.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">artdat3</media:title>
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	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Steps</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/09/steps/</link>
		<comments>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/09/steps/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jan 2012 05:06:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tamino</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tamino.wordpress.com/?p=4606</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A reader recently asked about a post on WUWT which, to everyone&#8217;s shocking surprise, claims to contradict man-made global warming. It claims that temperature records (at individual stations) follow step changes rather than linear increase, so the theory of anthropogenic &#8230; <a href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/09/steps/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tamino.wordpress.com&amp;blog=530201&amp;post=4606&amp;subd=tamino&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/09/steps/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>37</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">tamino</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/artdat1.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">artdat</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/artdat6.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">artdat6</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/artdat6_1.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">artdat6_1</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/malacca.gif" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Malacca</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/malacca2.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">malacca2</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/malacca3.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">malacca3</media:title>
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	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Trend and Cycle Together</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/08/trend-and-cycle-together/</link>
		<comments>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/08/trend-and-cycle-together/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Jan 2012 01:39:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tamino</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mathematics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tamino.wordpress.com/?p=4593</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Many climate signals show both trend and cycle (usually an annual cycle) together. A typical example is the concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere. If you look at the data (say, from the Mauna Loa atmospheric obsevatory) both &#8230; <a href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/08/trend-and-cycle-together/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tamino.wordpress.com&amp;blog=530201&amp;post=4593&amp;subd=tamino&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/08/trend-and-cycle-together/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>10</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">tamino</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/artdat.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">artdat</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/artanom1.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">artanom1</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/artanom2.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">artanom2</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">mlodat</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/mloanom1.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">mloanom1</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">mloanom2</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">mloanom3</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">mloanom4</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">mloanom5</media:title>
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	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Open Thread</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/05/open-thread-7/</link>
		<comments>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/05/open-thread-7/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2012 16:58:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tamino</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tamino.wordpress.com/?p=4591</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The last thread is intended only to enable anyone to express an opinion about the probability of disastrous climate change under business-as-usual. But it&#8217;s natural that folks want to discuss related issues, and even argue with each other about their &#8230; <a href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/05/open-thread-7/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tamino.wordpress.com&amp;blog=530201&amp;post=4591&amp;subd=tamino&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/05/open-thread-7/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>171</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">tamino</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>What is epsilon?</title>
		<link>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/04/what-is-epsilon/</link>
		<comments>http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/04/what-is-epsilon/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Jan 2012 15:09:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tamino</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tamino.wordpress.com/?p=4584</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I recently posted about the unfortunate failure to examine data properly which contributed to the disastrous loss of life with space shuttle mission 51-L (the Challenger disaster). One of the members of the commission which investigated the disaster was physicist &#8230; <a href="http://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/01/04/what-is-epsilon/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tamino.wordpress.com&amp;blog=530201&amp;post=4584&amp;subd=tamino&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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