Open Mind

Monbiot vs Plimer

August 12, 2009 · 51 Comments

Have you ever wanted to get a denialist — a real, died-in-the-wool, will-say-anything-however-false denialist — on the witness stand for cross-examination?


I sure have. I’d love to be able to question, say, Martin Durkin or Ian Plimer, in a public forum where they can’t hide from the deceptions they’ve perptrated and their answers will be on the record. Where they’re forced to come face-to-face with their own falsehoods. It’s actually going to happen! We’re about to witness a cross-examination of Ian Plimer, denialist extraordinaire, by George Monbiot.

Ian Plimer is the author of an execrable book about global warming titled Heaven and Earth. Enough people have shown its folly that I hardly need to join their ranks; one of those was George Monbiot. As a result, Plimer challenged Monbiot to a face-to-face debate about global warming. Here’s where things stand according to Monbiot’s blog:


Professor Ian Plimer, author of the book Heaven and Earth, is the new champion of the climate change deniers. After I wrote an article attacking his claims, he challenged me to a public debate. Last week I told him that I would accept his challenge as long as he accepted mine. I would take part in a face-to-face debate with him as long as he agreed to write precise and specific responses to his critics’ points – in the form of numbered questions that I would send him – for publication on the Guardian’s website. Plimer rejected my challenge.

I wrote an article accusing him of cowardice. I sent him the URL in the hope that it would provoke him into changing his mind. It worked. He wrote back, suggesting that he would now answer my questions. So here’s the letter I’ve just sent him. If Plimer answers them and accepts my condition that we can cross-examine each other, we will move on to his challenge – a face-to-face debate. Let battle commence!

Stage 1 of the cross-examination requires written answers to written questions. Stage 2 will be during the “debate,” which according to the terms allows the participants to cross-examine each other. Monbiot has already posted his written questions, we eagerly await Plimer’s written response.

The questions are to the point; Monbiot pulls no punches. You should take a good look. Here are my favorites:

Question 2:


2. Figure 3 (page 25) is a graph purporting to show that most of the warming in the 20th Century took place before 1945, and was followed by a period of sharp cooling. You cite no source for it, but it closely resembles the global temperature graph in the first edition of Martin Durkin’s film The Great Global Warming Swindle. Durkin later changed the graph after it was shown to have been distorted by extending the timeline.

In your book it remains unchanged.

Tim Lambert has reproduced the graph here.

a. What is the source for the graph you used?

b. Where was it first published?

c. Whose figures does it use?

d. How do you explain the alteration of both the curves and the timeline?

For those who are interested, this is figure 3 from Plimer’s book:

plimerfig3

Tim Lambert at Deltoid has already identified the source of the graph; it’s from the equally execrable “documentary” The Great Global Warming Swindle.

swindletempgraph

You should definitely visit the Deltoid post, where you can see the graphs superimposed and note their identity. In that post Deltoid notes that Plimer actually lied about where that graph came from, not long after having said that he “couldn’t recall” its source.

And by the way, that’s the graph which appeared only in the very 1st showing of the execrable “documentary” — it was changed for subsequent showings because it was shown to be a fraud.

Question 10:


10. You state that:

“Volcanoes produce more CO2 than the world’s cars and industries combined.” (p413)

This is similar to the claim in The Great Global Warming Swindle, whose narrator maintained that:

“Volcanoes produce more CO2 each year than all the factories and cars and planes and other sources of man-made carbon dioxide put together.”

But you do not provide a source for it.

This is what the US Geological Survey says:

“Human activities release more than 130 times the amount of CO2 emitted by volcanoes”.

a. Please provide a reference for your claim.

b. How do you explain the discrepancy between this claim and the published data?

This is an example of a false claim for which there is no evidence. They just made it up.

I can’t wait to see Plimer’s responses.

Categories: Global Warming

51 responses so far ↓

  • Anders E // August 12, 2009 at 2:10 pm | Reply

    Plimers pitiful response.

  • Ian Forrester // August 12, 2009 at 2:27 pm | Reply

    Here is my response to Plimer’s ridiculous questions I originally posted on Greenfyre’s:

    WOW, they actually let this immature excuse for a professor influence the minds of young adults? Anyone know if his course work is as blatantly immature, wrong and ridiculous as what he asked in these questions?

    No wonder so many “scientists” involved in the mining and petroleum industries are so uneducated about climate science.

  • Andrew Dodds // August 12, 2009 at 2:46 pm | Reply

    Hmmm. Some of Pilmer’s counter questions would probably take a couple of PhDs-worth of research to answer.. and most of the rest make very little sense. You would have to write significant essays just to get started on them!

  • Craig Allen // August 12, 2009 at 3:17 pm | Reply

    Those questions he’s thrown back at Monbiot are truly weird.

  • Curious // August 12, 2009 at 3:39 pm | Reply

    Those kind of questions by Plimer are unattainable and useless. Does he think that olives, citrus and grain crops in Europe are a precise record and a reliable proxy for global temperatures? Required atmospheric CO2 content at sea level? Is CO2 the only forcing? at sea level? I couldn’t read more than 3. They seem to by made by someone with even less idea about the climate system than I.

    I feel idiot when I see myself over and over again expecting a real conversation with denaialists. They always just go hopping from point to point in a strategy of escapism (though in this case the points are even more confusing than usual). Even more disappointing is that some people can mistake that travesty for a valid conversation. They seem to think that if you don’t know everything in the Universe, that proves that everything you know is wrong.

  • tamino // August 12, 2009 at 4:45 pm | Reply

    Round 1 to Monbiot.

  • Deech56 // August 12, 2009 at 4:48 pm | Reply

    Gish gallop. I think Greenfyre put this on the table as a possibility.

  • Paul Middents // August 12, 2009 at 4:52 pm | Reply

    Plimer’s questions resemble the old Cambridge Tripos exams given to Mathematics students. G.H. Hardy hated this system.

    The Navy Nuclear Power program relied on very challenging written examinations to qualify chief engineers and Commanding Officers. The test linked below circulated for years as a spoof of the engineers exam:

    http://www.middleweb.com/gradexam.html

    Paul

  • TomG // August 12, 2009 at 4:56 pm | Reply

    I suspect Pilmer will say…Since you can’t answer my questions, there is no point in me answering your questions.

  • cce // August 12, 2009 at 5:12 pm | Reply

    Duane Gish has nothing on this guy. Ask him where he got his graphs and anecdotes, and he’ll ask you to spend the rest of your life disentangling malarkey.

  • crf // August 12, 2009 at 6:02 pm | Reply

    Maybe Pilmer doesn’t know the “answers” to the questions he’s posed.

    Perhaps he thinks they are open questions, and that because they cannot be, or have not been, answered, this means that our understanding of climate is insufficient to make claims about the effects of high and rising carbon dioxide levels.

    But, assuming they are open questions, he still ought to show that not having answers to them does indeed mean that the common understanding about the effects of carbon dioxide on climate are incomplete, invalid or limited.

    A corrollory would be that Plimer should be able to show that the methods and questions used to arrive at our current understanding of climate change are LESS elucidating than would be case if science focused on the issues surrounding the answering of his questions (about citrus trees, and so on.)

    Plimer will have a tough time showing this.

    He is basically arguing that everything about climate science (maybe even science as a whole itself) has been gone about entirely in the wrong way, and that he can prove this, and in addition, can perhaps show what questions need to be answered and why.

    If I were Monbiot, I would bone up on what the basic questions in climate science have been, and why the field considers them to be the basic questions.

  • Deep Climate // August 12, 2009 at 6:24 pm | Reply

    There were similar fun and games with tropospheric temperature graphs from Friends of Science in the Climate Catastrophe Cancelled video, released in 2005 and updated in 2007 (as described in a forthcoming report):

    At 2:44 of part 1 of the CCC video, Tim Patterson discusses the satellite-derived temperature record.

    “On the other hand, satellites provide comprehensive coverage of the earth 24-7 for the last twenty years. And so what they have demonstrated is that there has been an almost imperceptible rise in temperature over this time.”

    The accompanying graph shows satellite and surface trends from 1980 to the end of 2000. No attribution is given, but the satellite data appears to be an early version of the UAH data series, with an apparent linear trend of .04 deg. C per decade. This is the trend that was cited in the IPCC Third Assessment Report, published in 2001.

    http://deepclimate.files.wordpress.com/2009/08/ccc-satellite-2000-screenshot.jpg

    But in a later segment discussing the El Nino year of 1998, another graph is given with surface and UAH satellite data to 2004, labeled clearly with the presumably less “imperceptible” linear trend of 0.08 deg. C per decade (double that in the previous graph). Of course, the second graph was meant to illustrate a different point, namely the uniqueness of 1998 relative to subsequent years, and thus presumably required the presentation of more up-to-date data.

    http://deepclimate.files.wordpress.com/2009/08/ccc-satellite-el-nino-screenshot.jpg

    RSS satellite data sets were first published in 2001; by July, 2004, the RSS lower troposphere trend stood at 0.13 deg. C per decade. Other available estimates at that time from Vinsky-Grodny (0.22) and Fu (0.19) were even higher. None of these estimates were mentioned in the video.

    In 2005, major progress was made in refining the satellite-derived estimates. In addition, a major error was discovered in the UAH calculations, and the UAH linear trend was raised yet again, to 0.12 deg. per decade, as compared to 0.19 for RSS. These estimates were cited in the IPCC 4AR, and compared to surface temperature trends ranging from 0.15 to 0.18 deg per decade. By 2007, the UAH and RSS had converged even more and stood at 0.14 and 0.18 deg. per decade respectively.

    Yet the second edition of the video, released in late 2007, has retained exactly the same narration, referring once again to “an almost imperceptible rise in temperature”. A different graph is now used (this one also seems to be based solely on UAH data, and appears identical to a slide from a PowerPoint presentation by David Archibald of the Lavoisier Group). That graph is very unclear in the film, and the date range can not be discerned.

    In fact, I can’t find one chart in the FoS film that isn’t misleading in some way. I imagine Plimer’s work is no different in that regard.

    BTW, for the latest on the resurgent Friends of Science check:
    http://deepclimate.org/2009/07/16/friends-of-science-theyre-back/

  • Deep Climate // August 12, 2009 at 6:41 pm | Reply

    The volcano claim apparently comes from Durkin’s “Great Global Warming Swindle”.

    According to Wikipedia:

    Following criticism from scientists the film has been changed since it was first broadcast on Channel 4. One graph had its time axis relabelled, the claim that volcanoes produce more CO2 than humans was removed, and following objections about how his interview had been used, the interview with Carl Wunsch was removed for the international and DVD releases of the programme.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Global_Warming_Swindle#Reception_and_criticism

    A pattern is emerging …

  • Mark // August 12, 2009 at 7:00 pm | Reply

    Actually the questions asked are a give by Plimer, ‘cept he doesn’t realise it.

    Monbiot can just say “I don’t know” to ALL of them.

    Plimer can’t say that to Monbiot’s questions, since they’re questions on what Plimer said. “I don’t know” isn’t going to cut any ice there.

    What a bloody idiot that Plimer is…

  • Deep Climate // August 12, 2009 at 7:25 pm | Reply

    Here is an excerpt from a transcript of the original version of the Swindle film:

    [ Narrator ] What’s more, humans are not the main source of Carbon Dioxide.

    [ Professor John Christy ] Humans produce a small fraction, in the single digits, percentage-wise of the CO2 that is produced in the atmosphere.

    [ Cartoon showing sources of CO2 ]
    [Narrator?]
    Volcanoes produce more CO2 each year than all the factories and cars and planes
    and other sources of Man-Made CO2 put together.

    More still comes from animals and bacteria which produce about 150 gigatonnes
    of Carbon Dioxide each year, compared to a mere 6.5 gigatonnes from humans.

    An even larger source of CO2 is dying vegetation, from falling leaves for example
    in the Autumn.

    But the biggest source of CO2, by far, is the oceans.

    This section was followed by an interview with Carl Wunsch, which was also removed in the subsequent version.

    As far as I know, Christy himself has not claimed elsewhere such high outgassing from volcanos, although the transcript appears to attribute that quote to him. That was most likely a mistake and it probably was really the narrator (so I’ve made that change).

    So the source for the volcanic claim is still a mystery. But it seems clear that Plimer didn’t make it up; he got it from Durkin. Maybe Durkin made it up. At least, I don’t think he has ever revealed a source.

    Of course the rest of the discussion is also misleading nonsense. The point is not how much CO2 is released from various sources, but to what extent the flux balance (including all production and sinks) is affected by fossil fuel emissions, i.e. how much of the rise in atmospheric CO2 is attributable to the new human source. (Answer: pretty much all of it).

    Has anyone done a detailed comparison of Swindle and Plimer? Is there any talking point in the Swindle film that Plimer missed? I’m guessing not.

    The transcript, with commentary is here:
    http://portal.campaigncc.org/node/1843

  • dhogaza // August 12, 2009 at 7:27 pm | Reply

    Monbiot can just say “I don’t know” to ALL of them.

    And that’s essentially what Monbiot has said – “I’m not a climate scientist, so I’m not the right person to ask”.

  • Rainman86 // August 12, 2009 at 7:31 pm | Reply

    Paul Middents:

    I had a version of that test for a long time. (may still be stuck in a box somewhere) (I was in the NNPP from 1986-1995, Machinist Mate)

    Anyway, one question on mine that isn’t in that link was:

    General Knowledge: Describe in detail, briefly.

    :-P

  • Glen Raphael // August 12, 2009 at 8:17 pm | Reply

    The claim that “volcanoes produce more CO2 than humans” is an urban legend by now but I’m pretty sure it’s based on a corruption of some claims made in the 1990 book _Trashing the Planet_ by Dixie Lee Ray. These claims were later referenced by Rush Limbaugh in one of his books and on his program. Dixie Lee made claims about Pinatubo which she in turn sourced from some Larouchite rag. The base claim initially related to ozone-depleting chemicals rather than CO2, but the original claims weren’t true either – there was a calculation error that caused them to be off by orders of magnitude.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dixy_Lee_Ray
    http://www.suite101.com/discussion.cfm/politics_conservative/4228/29470

  • Dave Andrews // August 12, 2009 at 8:20 pm | Reply

    How sure are you all that those questions have actually come from Plimmer?

    They might, judging from the content, actually have come from some of the undergrads he had just been teaching.

  • Hank Roberts // August 12, 2009 at 8:38 pm | Reply

    Someone should run those questions through one of the online plagiarism detectors.

  • cce // August 12, 2009 at 8:51 pm | Reply

    I document the volcano claim here:

    http://cce.890m.com/intro

    There is also some volcano stuff from Ronald Reagan that I might add in later revisions.

  • Gavin's Pussycat // August 12, 2009 at 9:07 pm | Reply

    Eh, what’s monbiot.com’s research budget?

    So he changed strategy: from gishgalloping to browbeating. Or perhaps no real change: keep the enemy running round in circles. Pathetic.

    It indicts him even more gravely: he is actually conversant with large parts of modern geophysics. Ignorance is no longer available as a defence, if it ever was.

  • Glen Raphael // August 12, 2009 at 9:14 pm | Reply

    Here’s a better summary of the volcano/CO2/Dixie Lee Ray story, complete with snippets and transcripts and precise references and bar charts:

    http://cce.890m.com/intro/

  • cogito // August 12, 2009 at 9:27 pm | Reply

    “… died-in-the-wool” ? When and where did he die?

  • TrueSceptic // August 12, 2009 at 10:02 pm | Reply

    Deep Climate,

    I’m unlikely to read Plimer’s book as I object to wasting my time, but from what I’ve seen quoted, it seems likely that it includes all of the misrepresentations and false claims made in TGGWS. It certainly contains enough to demonstrate that it is the work of a shameless liar, not a reputable scientist.

    I suggest Dave Rado’s Complaint as an excellent reference on TGGWS and its many falsehoods. Perhaps someone who [i]has[/i] read ‘Heaven and Earth’ could tell us if it does omit anything that was used in TGGWS?

  • greenfyre // August 12, 2009 at 10:31 pm | Reply

    “When and where did he die?”

    Intellectually? or ethically?

    Hard to say precisely, but the evidence suggests that they were about the same time, and now the stench of the putrification is overwhelming.

  • Deep Climate // August 12, 2009 at 10:53 pm | Reply

    cce, Glen,

    That’s pretty interesting background. I’ve also run across those claims that volcanoes, not humans, were responsible for CFC-related ozone depletion.

    But I’m still not clear that’s where Durkin got the idea for his claim. How did claims about volcanos causing ozone depletion morph into Durkin’s claim?

    Rather, I’d point to Tom Segalstad as a likely source (whether directly or indirectly) :

    Segalstad (1992; 1993; 1996) concluded from 13-C/12-C isotope mass balance
    calculations, in accordance with the 14-C data, that at least 96% of the current atmo-
    spheric CO2 is isotopically indistinguishable from non-fossil-fuel sources, i.e. natural
    marine and juvenile sources from the Earth’s interior. Hence, for the atmospheric CO2
    budget, marine equilibration and degassing, and juvenile degassing from e.g. volcanic
    sources, must be much more important
    ; and the sum of burning of fossil-fuel and
    biogenic releases (4%) much less important, than assumed (21% of atmospheric CO2)
    by the authors of the IPCC model (Houghton et al., 1990). [Emphasis added]

    From Carbon cycle modelling and the residence time of natural and anthropogenic atmospheric CO2: on the construction of the
    “Greenhouse Effect Global Warming” dogma.

    Tom V. Segalstad, Mineralogical-Geological Museum, University of Oslo

    http://www.co2web.info/ESEF3VO2.htm

    Lots of, um, interesting links and writings at his website:
    http://www.co2web.info/

    He’s been at this a long time, apparently. But I don’t see any peer-reviewed scientific papers on his website, at least not in the last 15 years.

    Meanwhile, apparently from another planet, if not an alternative reality, we have:

    In 1980, Mt. St. Helens Volcano eruption spewed MORE C02 in just a few hours than ALL of the C02 emitted by MAN since the BEGINNING of the industrial revolution.

    http://london-lez.org/co2-emissions/gapcast-10-carbon-dioxide#comment-889

    This comment makes the Segelstad/Durkin/Plimer claims appear almost reasonable.

  • Deep Climate // August 12, 2009 at 10:57 pm | Reply

    Resubmitted with proper formatting (pls. delete previous comment)

    cce, Glen,

    That’s pretty interesting background. I’ve also run across those claims that volcanoes, not humans, were responsible for CFC-related ozone depletion.

    But I’m still not clear that’s where Durkin got the idea for his claim. How did claims about volcanos causing ozone depletion morph into Durkin’s claim?

    Rather, I’d point to Tom Segalstad as a likely source (whether directly or indirectly) :

    Segalstad (1992; 1993; 1996) concluded from 13-C/12-C isotope mass balance calculations, in accordance with the 14-C data, that at least 96% of the current atmospheric CO2 is isotopically indistinguishable from non-fossil-fuel sources, i.e. natural marine and juvenile sources from the Earth’s interior. Hence, for the atmospheric CO2 budget, marine equilibration and degassing, and juvenile degassing from e.g. volcanic sources, must be much more important; and the sum of burning of fossil-fuel and biogenic releases (4%) much less important, than assumed (21% of atmospheric CO2) by the authors of the IPCC model Houghton et al., 1990). [Emphasis added]

    From Carbon cycle modelling and the residence time of natural and anthropogenic atmospheric CO2: on the construction of the
    “Greenhouse Effect Global Warming” dogma.

    Tom V. Segalstad, Mineralogical-Geological Museum, University of Oslo

    http://www.co2web.info/ESEF3VO2.htm

    Lots of, um, interesting links and writings at his website:
    http://www.co2web.info/

    He’s been at this a long time, apparently. But I don’t see any peer-reviewed scientific papers on his website, at least not in the last 15 years.

    Meanwhile, apparently from another planet, if not an alternative reality, we have:

    In 1980, Mt. St. Helens Volcano eruption spewed MORE C02 in just a few hours than ALL of the C02 emitted by MAN since the BEGINNING of the industrial revolution.

    http://london-lez.org/co2-emissions/gapcast-10-carbon-dioxide#comment-889

    This comment makes the Segelstad/Durkin/Plimer claims appear almost reasonable.

  • Ray Ladbury // August 12, 2009 at 11:55 pm | Reply

    So does Plimer really think he can win the point by being an ass-hat?

  • cce // August 13, 2009 at 12:26 am | Reply

    DC,

    People don’t really distinguish CFCs from sulfur dioxide or carbon dioxide, or even Pinatubo from Mt. Saint Helens. They heard something once, and it must have been true, whatever it was. Ozone depletion, acid rain, or global warming, it’s all the same socialist propaganda.

    Limbaugh has since paywalled his commentary on St. Helens circa 2004, but this is what he says in response to the Seattle Times article. Nothing he quotes even talks about CO2 (although the article does), but watch how he immediately starts talking about Kyoto.

    Begin Limbaugh:
    “I guess enforcing the Kyoto treaty would be pretty hard for those stupid enough to implement it. Who’s going to sue the sun or Mount St. Helens when they violate the treaty?

    ‘And how can Mother Nature be so anti-clean air?’ writes Sandi Doughton, who wrote the story. I thought everything about nature was to be respected and admired, even protected. Yes, yes, so we gotta protect these polluting, belching-filth volcanoes. The real question here, or the real point to be made is, ladies and gentlemen, we keep hearing that Mother Earth is pristine, nature is natural, environment is all that is right and good. It is only man that corrupts. It is only human Americans that destroy our environment. Do you know China is exempt from Kyoto? Do you know the Chinese are exempt from the Kyoto Accords, the Kyoto Protocol, and they’re going to become one of the largest polluters in the world, given the definitions of polluters these days with their advancing quest for oil and their massive infusion of automobiles for families over there. But the bottom line here is look at nature, look at what nature does.

    When Mount Pinatubo erupted, made the same point, Mount Pinatubo put more gunk in the air than all the automobile exhaust in the history of the automobile combined. To me it just debunks the whole theory behind militant environmentalism, which is that the only destructive agent on earth is mankind. To say that this is destructive is silly. If you’ve got to protect the environment and if it’s all that’s good and it’s pristine, how can a volcano spewing sulfur dioxide be considered something that needs to be guarded and protected and worshiped and so forth and so on? It’s just a testament to the resiliency of the earth and how we’re powerlessness over it when you get right down to it. ”

    The Seattle Times article (below) buries the lead that manmade pollution dwarfs volcanoes, in favor of playing up how significant volcanoes are as single sources.

    http://community.seattletimes.nwsource.com/archive/?date=20041201&slug=volcano01m

    When this article first came out, there was a burst of noise repeating what Limbaugh said, either because they were literally repeating him, or because they share his reading comprehension.

  • Eric L // August 13, 2009 at 1:38 am | Reply

    Glen,

    Your site is awesome and I wish I had discovered it sooner. I will be sure to direct skeptics there in the future, in the mean time you should really buy a memorable domain name.

    Also, I think I’ve discovered the source of one of Plimer/GGWS’s questionable graphs thanks to your site. The one showing midcentury cooling looks a lot like your graph in section 3 showing northern hemisphere temps.

    This is all very interesting because a cousin of mine once claimed that when Vesuvius blew it released more CO2 than all of the industrial revolution. Of course, the eruption that buried Pompeii was an exceptionally large one, so that version might be based on a different but actually true statement, or it might be based on whatever all this is based on.

    [Response: The statement is false. If it were true, then the huge influx of CO2 would show up clearly in ice core records. It doesn't.]

  • greenfyre // August 13, 2009 at 2:53 am | Reply

    Chris Colose has done some more detailed analysis of some of Plimer’s questions. A good place to send people who do not understand why the questions are pompous nonsense:
    Ian Plimer’s questions to George Monbiot
    http://chriscolose.wordpress.com/2009/08/12/ian-plimers-questions-to-george-monbiot

  • dhogaza // August 13, 2009 at 4:21 am | Reply

    So does Plimer really think he can win the point by being an ass-hat?

    Damn, I’ve spent part of my day trying to get my french girlfriend to understand the subtle differences between “asshole”, “prick”, and “fuckhead” and now you toss in “ass-hat”?

    More work ahead for me, I’m sure :)

  • jyyh // August 13, 2009 at 5:20 am | Reply

    Hope the discussion (if it happens) doesn’t proceed like this:

    ‘”From the variables x, y, z, and p calculate the constants a, b, c, d, e and f.”
    - I can’t.
    “Why is that? Are you stupid?”
    -In order to really know something, you have to verify it in at least two ways.
    “But I know the weather’s fine, and all I have to do is look.”
    -… ‘

    Yes – but that’s not science, that’s subjective.

  • Andrew Dodds // August 13, 2009 at 7:15 am | Reply

    Actually.. is you analyze the questions, they very quickly reduce to the Official Standard Skeptic Talking points that they come from..

    Translations:

    1) The romans grew grapes in the UK, so it must have been warm then.

    2) All the CO2 comes from Volcanoes.

    3) There is uncertainty over the effects of clouds, therefore there is no CO2-greenhouse effect.

    4) All the CO2 comes from Volcanoes. [Truly bizarre attack on the isotope evidence proving otherwise]

    5) There was more CO2 in the air in previous ice ages [when the sun was fainter], therefore CO2 does not drive temperature.

    6) The increase in CO2 comes from the oceans heating, not the other way around.

    7) There is some uncertainty over aerosols, therefore there is no CO2-greenhouse effect.

    8) I’m pretty sure that MORB circulation systems don’t metamorphose rocks to GS facies, the pressures are far too low; Pilmer has his geology wrong in this meaningless question.

    9) I think he is trying to claim that sea level rise is due to the last deglaciation.

    10) See 6).

    11) Models are all unreliable and wrong. And if you don’t know absolutely everything about climate change, then you don’t know anything.

    12) Is really a rehash of ‘If CO2 is responsible for climate change now, it must ALWAYS be responsible for EVERY climate change’.

    13) Water vapour is the only important GHG.

    The fact that he’s dressed them up and demanded silly levels of precision dosen’t change the fact that he is just retreading the same arguments we’ve seen tima and time again..

    12)

  • Robert Grumbine // August 13, 2009 at 7:23 am | Reply

    Deep Climate: In the transcript of the Patterson, either the transcriber or Patterson got a couple of names wrong. It isn’t Vinsky-Grodny. The two authors there are Konstantin Vinnikov and Norm Grody.

    Plimer’s questions are baffling — not for their content, but for the fact that he thinks they’re meaningful and relevant … or at least that he’s pretending to think so.

  • Gavin's Pussycat // August 13, 2009 at 8:34 am | Reply

    Eric L,

    you’re probably referring to cce’s site. Yes, awesome isn’t it? The really awesome thing is that it’s designed for correctness rather than inspiring awe.

    [Response: The statement is false. If it were true, then the huge influx of CO2 would show up clearly in ice core records. It doesn't.]

    The kind of consistency test that people should routinely be able to apply… but this one would require geophysics literacy… sigh. The tricks of the deniers remind me of our cat, who, after being fed by my wife, tried to beg more food from me, unaware that the two of us can communicate :-)

  • Gavin's Pussycat // August 13, 2009 at 9:12 am | Reply

    Actually I know the answer to all of Plimer’s questions! And so does Monbiot.

    The answer to all questions is: 42.

    :-)

  • bluegrue // August 13, 2009 at 9:21 am | Reply

    Plimer can always retreat to say “I wanted to teach Monbiot a lesson of how little we know, using the Socratic method”. Each of the questions is a full-fledged research project of its own (whether ill-posed or not) in return for a collection of questions that should take him an hour to answer at maximum. Gish-gallop indeed. And of course Plimer will only publish his answers tit-for-tat, after all fair is fair, or isn’t it? Why should he answer if Monbiot refuses to.

    Regarding the first question, do we even have 5 different proxies of atmospheric CO2 content? Ice cores, stalagmites, maybe some indications from undisturbed sediments. That’s all I can think of right now as a layman. Anything else?

  • Gavin's Pussycat // August 13, 2009 at 9:49 am | Reply

    Heck.

    There’s a guy called ToneWrench on Monbiot’s blog coming up with exactly he same answer.

    Ah well. Great minds think alike… this must be the consensus then :-)

  • Slioch // August 13, 2009 at 11:01 am | Reply

    Let us not be distracted discussing Plimer’s questions.

    They should be ignored, at least until Plimer answers Monbiot’s simple questions – which he cannot do without revealing his incompetence and dishonesty.

    The function of Plimer’s questions is to distract attention from Monbiot’s – that is his only hope, to create obfuscation and diversion.

    Don’t get suckered in – ignore Plimer’s questions. Insist that Plimer answers Monbiot’s.

  • Dappled Water // August 13, 2009 at 11:06 am | Reply

    Plimer has taken a hefty plow to the solar plexus and is vomiting out garbage. The ref has begun a standing count………….

  • Hank Roberts // August 13, 2009 at 1:39 pm | Reply

    Has Plimer asked the one about numerical fitting of angels onto the curved head of a pin yet?

  • Matt Andrews // August 13, 2009 at 1:44 pm | Reply

    Plimer now has a piece at ABC Unleashed:

    http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/stories/s2655036.htm

    It’s choc-a-bloc full of misleading and downright false statements, as you’d expect.

  • Andrew Dodds // August 13, 2009 at 2:32 pm | Reply

    Matt – given that Pilmer seems to think that CO2 has no climatic effects whatsoever (Ref: “The hypothesis that high atmospheric CO2 drives global warming is therefore invalid.”), perhaps he should lead a bunch of denialists to colonise Venus? Due to the clouds, incoming radiation is about the same as Earth, and we know that CO2=Life, so it must be a paradise down there!

  • TrueSceptic // August 13, 2009 at 3:18 pm | Reply

    Andrew Dodds,

    Let’s start a collection to build a ship to take denialists to Venus. No need to plan for a return journey so that makes it much easier.

  • Gavin's Pussycat // August 13, 2009 at 4:39 pm | Reply

    Regarding the first question, do we even have 5 different proxies of atmospheric CO2 content? Ice cores, stalagmites, maybe some indications from undisturbed sediments. That’s all I can think of right now as a layman. Anything else?

    Wostok, EPICA, GISP, GRIP and one of Lonnie Thompson’s travel souvenirs. He didn’t say five different types of proxies ;-)

  • Marion Delgado // August 15, 2009 at 8:18 am | Reply

    Hank Roberts, here’s the result – the problem is, monbiot’s column quoting the full text of plimer’s response is already aggregated, so that turns up as plagiarism.

    The alerts for your document include:

    Plagiarism: some parts of your document match the text from

    http://risingtide.org.au/aggregator/sources/19

    Confusing modifiers: 1 alert

    Use of qualifiers and quantifiers: 1 alert

    We have at least 51 text enhancement suggestions

    To fix all problems quickly and see enhancement suggestions,
    upgrade to EssayRater Ultimate

    EssayRater Writing issues: 42 alerts
    Citation Audit Issues detected. Upgrade to see!
    Contextual Spelling Check 11 alerts
    Commonly confused words OK
    Spelling 11 alerts
    Grammar 19 alerts
    Use of adjectives and adverbs OK
    Use of articles 4 alerts
    Use of conjunctions OK
    Use of nouns OK
    Incorrect use of numbers OK
    Incorrect use of prepositions OK
    Pronoun agreement OK
    Comparing two or more things OK
    Conditional sentences OK
    Faulty parallelism OK
    Confusing modifiers 1 alert
    Incorrect use of negatives OK
    Use of qualifiers and quantifiers 1 alert
    Sentence structure 5 alerts
    Subject and verb agreement OK
    Wordiness 6 alerts
    Modal verbs OK
    Verb agreement OK
    Verb form use 1 alert
    Passive voice use 1 alert
    Other OK
    Punctuation 8 alerts
    Punctuation within a sentence 8 alerts
    Closing punctuation OK
    Capitalization OK
    Formal punctuation OK
    Style and Word Choice 3 alerts
    Writing style OK
    Vocabulary use 3 alerts
    WordBooster Suggestions 51
    WordBooster 51

  • Mark // August 16, 2009 at 3:41 pm | Reply

    “Plimer can always retreat to say “I wanted to teach Monbiot a lesson of how little we know, using the Socratic method”.”

    This still doesn’t help him show anything other than he didn’t know what the heck he was talking about in his book.

    Which was the point of the questions.

  • simple // August 18, 2009 at 9:20 am | Reply

    If you give a fool an audience the fool will fool others into feeling the fool is an wise person.

    And a fool never knows they don’t know whereas a wise person knows they never can know.

    As for GW surely it is time to prepare and adapt for change, become fossil fuel free again and acting in ways that sequester carbon dioxide from the atmosphere?

    Rather than entertaining fools?

    Otherwise although the fools will be proven to be fools, the burden of spreading their foolishness will have to be carried by us all.

  • Polyester Mather // August 30, 2009 at 11:39 pm | Reply

    Monbiot can’t hope to prevail against arguments of such stunning concision unless he first convinces those on his own political side -perhaps he shoild send this off to Cockburn:

    Test your Climate IQ with the Condensed Plimer Questionaire :
    Over 9000 PhD’s agree that is uncertainty over the effects of clouds, because the increase in CO2 comes from volcanoes , not the other way around, which is why the Romans could grow grapes in England before the industrial revolution made hockey sticks as unreliable as computer models . Combined with the absence of greenhouse induced continental drift at sea level, this proves CO2 does not drive temperature and that the materialist warming hoax is fatally flawed .
    Agree. [ ]
    Disagree [ ]

Leave a Comment